Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.021189 0.023406 0.025618 0.027985 0.030442 0.032912 0.035578
2025-02-23 0.016743 0.020256 0.023888 0.027894 0.032164 0.036557 0.041397
2025-03-02 0.014026 0.018232 0.022697 0.027728 0.033185 0.038881 0.045236
2025-03-09 0.012117 0.016836 0.021968 0.027854 0.034331 0.041166 0.048862
2025-03-16 0.010232 0.015276 0.020900 0.027465 0.034786 0.042592 0.051453
2025-03-23 0.008910 0.014240 0.020319 0.027526 0.035651 0.044387 0.054369
2025-03-30 0.007573 0.013071 0.019498 0.027239 0.036064 0.045630 0.056627
2025-04-06 0.006382 0.011977 0.018693 0.026907 0.036372 0.046708 0.058660
2025-04-13 0.004910 0.010393 0.017210 0.025718 0.035651 0.046596 0.059335
2025-04-20 0.004371 0.009992 0.017135 0.026152 0.036756 0.048497 0.062213
2025-04-27 0.003635 0.009249 0.016590 0.025992 0.037148 0.049575 0.064153
2025-05-04 0.002871 0.008377 0.015833 0.025541 0.037174 0.050213 0.065579
2025-05-11 0.002335 0.007828 0.015518 0.025678 0.037955 0.051790 0.068155
2025-05-18 0.001783 0.007183 0.015056 0.025634 0.038534 0.053156 0.070521
2025-05-25 0.001285 0.006524 0.014526 0.025468 0.038939 0.054296 0.072607
2025-06-01 0.000941 0.006067 0.014243 0.025591 0.039671 0.055796 0.075084
2025-06-08 0.000555 0.005385 0.013593 0.025216 0.039781 0.056561 0.076709
2025-06-15 0.000330 0.004966 0.013295 0.025274 0.040399 0.057901 0.078976
2025-06-22 0.000126 0.004416 0.012760 0.024998 0.040593 0.058731 0.080649
2025-06-29 0.000012 0.003886 0.012210 0.024677 0.040714 0.059464 0.082196
2025-07-06 NaN 0.003045 0.011079 0.023533 0.039788 0.058944 0.082286
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002903 0.011100 0.023951 0.040800 0.060703 0.084993
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002548 0.010719 0.023796 0.041083 0.061592 0.086686